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OAYP: 2019 College Football Rankings

By Jim Johnson
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The OAYP advanced metric ranks all 130 FBS teams through week seven.

OAYP is an advanced metric to evaluate the true strength of college football teams. The premise is best boiled down to two of the most basic tenets of the game -- moving the ball and scoring efficiently, while preventing the opposition from doing so. With that in mind, the team component is largely based on opponent adjusted yards (per play) and points (per drive)... hence OAYP.

What separates the formula from the pack is its predictive nature, thanks to its ability to account for injuries, suspensions, etc., using the individual player rankings. However, the team numbers are still the foundation for everything.

These will be released each week with the updated data.

Here’s a quick explanation of the table:

OAYP -- The formula is still using some of the 2018 data, as to avoid inordinate swings in the rankings due to sample size issues, but increasingly less the more FBS games a given team has played in 2019. This week is the last week that any 2018 data will factor in.

OFF RK -- Where each team ranks among the 130 FBS teams in offensive OAYP. This ranking is comprised of only 2019 data.

DEF RK -- Same thing, but for defense, and also only using 2019 data.

SOS RK -- This is basically where each team ranks in average opponent OAYP. It’s a strength of schedule measure. *Note* This only takes into account each team’s SOS, so far. It does not look ahead to the remainder of the schedule. This is also not to be confused with strength of record.

2019 RK -- This is where each team ranks in 2019 only OAYP. Again, the main rankings are still using 2018 data, while this is where each team would rank if it wasn’t. Obviously, the 2018 data will eventually cease to be relevant, for some teams sooner than others, at which point “2019 only” will become OAYP, itself. Starting next week, this will disappear, as only the 2019 data will factor in, from that point on.

Jim Johnson - Editor of Southern Pigskin, Producer of "Three & Out", and host of "Explosive Recruiting" on the Southern Pigskin Radio Network. E-mail: Twitter: @JimJohnsonSP